Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.033200 0.038576 0.044489 0.051465 0.059465 0.068342 0.078934
2025-10-19 0.024584 0.031440 0.039671 0.050247 0.063443 0.079331 0.099875
2025-10-26 0.019201 0.026704 0.036420 0.049856 0.067873 0.091112 0.123256
2025-11-02 0.015056 0.022575 0.032997 0.048376 0.070348 0.100438 0.144559
2025-11-09 0.012137 0.019482 0.030302 0.047224 0.072797 0.109719 0.166696
2025-11-16 0.010210 0.017431 0.028672 0.047192 0.076617 0.121132 0.192988
2025-11-23 0.008459 0.015307 0.026530 0.045942 0.078248 0.129272 0.215100
2025-11-30 0.007663 0.014602 0.026510 0.048009 0.085275 0.146388 0.252942
2025-12-07 0.006677 0.013382 0.025409 0.048040 0.088830 0.158171 0.283264
2025-12-14 0.005645 0.011887 0.023581 0.046488 0.089368 0.164829 0.305500
2025-12-21 0.004924 0.010861 0.022446 0.046007 0.091686 0.174686 0.334146
2025-12-28 0.004663 0.010717 0.022962 0.048700 0.100158 0.196305 0.385933
2026-01-04 0.004307 0.010328 0.022963 0.050437 0.107115 0.216063 0.436728
2026-01-11 0.003714 0.009315 0.021539 0.049077 0.107784 0.224024 0.466059
2026-01-18 0.003279 0.008587 0.020606 0.048612 0.110200 0.235587 0.503533
2026-01-25 0.002832 0.007745 0.019293 0.047127 0.110260 0.242406 0.532155
2026-02-01 0.002471 0.007049 0.018205 0.045983 0.110892 0.250405 0.563911
2026-02-08 0.002224 0.006599 0.017629 0.045942 0.113953 0.263767 0.608148
2026-02-15 0.001945 0.006011 0.016622 0.044719 0.114135 0.270901 0.639627
2026-02-22 0.001856 0.005938 0.016910 0.046731 0.122175 0.296157 0.713322
2026-03-01 0.001686 0.005596 0.016443 0.046760 0.125415 0.310866 0.764669
2026-03-08 0.001473 0.005085 0.015440 0.045246 0.124640 0.316219 0.795046
2026-03-15 0.001324 0.004744 0.014857 0.044778 0.126456 0.327829 0.841112